Sitemap - 2023 - Capital Flows and Asset Markets

IS CHEAP ENERGY HERE TO STAY?

ARTIFICIAL SCARCITY AND MODERN MARKETS

KISSINGER VS MUNGER

WHY "MACRO" FAILED AND THE MEANING OF GLD/TLT

HAS INFLATION BEEN CONQUERED?

I'M TOO OLD FOR THIS SHIT

IS BOND BEAR MARKET REALLY OVER?

HOW COULD THE UK MAKE APPLE PAY MORE TAX?

WHY I AM FILLED WITH EXISTENTIAL DREAD

WHAT HAVE I LEARNED?

NOVEMBER NEWSLETTER AND PORTFOLIO

WHY HAVE EQUITY?

WHY CHANOS FAILED

PRO-LABOUR POLITICS AT WORK

TLT - THE NEW WIDOWMAKER

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION - SHOULD I GET RID OF THE LONG BOOK?

SHOULD I SHORT LUXURY?

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION : WHAT TO DO ABOUT THE MAGNIFICENT SEVEN?

IS SHORT TLT DONE? PART TWO

CURRENCIES IN A PRO-LABOUR WORLD

OCTOBER NEWSLETTER AND PORTFOLIO

THOUGHTS ON SHORT SELLING

ANALYSING BLACKSTONE - ADDENDUM

WHAT IS GOING ON IN CRYPTO?

WHAT'S GOING ON IN ENERGY MARKETS?

IS SHORT TLT DONE?

THINKING ABOUT PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

JUNK JUNK FOOD?

ANALYSING BLACKSTONE

CUTTING THROUGH THE MACRO BABBLE - ADDENDUM

CUTTING THROUGH THE MACRO BABBLE

THE THREE PROFIT CENTRES OF SHORT SELLING - UPDATE

FINALLY PUTTING MY MONEY WHERE MY MOUTH IS!

PRO-LABOUR SHIFT AND JAPANESE BANKS

SHOULD I SHORT PRIVATE EQUITY?

WHAT TO SHORT?

ON EMPIRES AND POLITICS

HAS THE FED F&@KED UP?

CAN I DO BETTER THAN HYG?

PRO-LABOUR SHIFT CONTINUES

COMMODITIES, INFLATION AND BONDS

SHOULD I SHORT DRUG COMPANIES?

A NEW WAY TO THINK ABOUT EQUITY VOLATILITY

WHY YOU SHOULD MAKE YOUR SON PLAY CRICKET

THE DRUGS DON'T WORK

IS LAWRENCE STROLL A "KEYSER SOZE"?

AM I WRONG ABOUT BONDS?

THOSE WHO FAIL TO STUDY HISTORY ARE DESTINED TO OUTPERFORM

WHAT TO DO ABOUT NVIDIA

STRATEGY UPDATE

IS CHINA WINNING? PART II

DO YOU LIKE BITCOIN? THEN YOU SHOULD LOVE APPLE

IRISH TAX POLICY HAS REACHED ITS SELL BY DATE

TLT IS AS BAD AS IT LOOKS

CRYPTO AND LIQUIDITY

BRITAIN: THE DILEMMA OF CONTROLLING IMMIGRATION OR RAISING TUITION FEES

HOW DO WE GET A BEAR MARKET?

TAKING A CLOSER LOOK AT LCH

THE ECONOMIST, FERTILITY AND DEMOGRAPHICS

CRACKING THE US - A WORKED EXAMPLE

DEFLATION? YOU CANNOT BE SERIOUS!

10 TIMES REVENUE DOES MAKE SENSE!

DO YOU OWN TLT? ARE YOU BRAIN DEAD?

CRACKING THE MYSTERY OF US OUTPERFORMANCE

THE TIMES THEY ARE A-CHANGIN'

TIME TO SHORT BONDS AGAIN?

STRATEGY UPDATE - SHARE BUYBACKS DRIVE MARKETS

WE ARE ALL CHINESE NOW!

PRO-LABOUR IS INFLATIONARY; ANTI-CAPITAL POLICIES ARE DEFLATIONARY

JAPAN AND THE GREAT PRIVATE EQUITIZATION TRADE

WHY MACRO IS BROKEN

WHERE IS THE MISSING NIIP?

IS NIIP ANALYSIS DEAD? A PRIMER

ARE MACRO INVESTORS IDIOTS - PART II

A BETTER STRONG DOLLAR MODEL

DEMOGRAPHICS IS NOT DESTINY - UPDATE

STRATEGY REVIEW

IF I SEEM CONFUSED, ITS BECAUSE THE POLITICS IS CONFUSING

THE PARADOX OF US TREASURIES AS A RISK FREE ASSET

IS THE US LOSING THE WORLD?

SHOULD WE BE LONG TLT AND SHORT GLD?

DOES WALLET SHARE DRIVE CURRENCIES?

GLD/TLT - FOOD INFLATION OR CHINA FOREIGN RESERVE MANAGEMENT?

RETHINKING THE SHORT BOOK

COULD THE US "LOSE" AUSTRALIA?

WHAT HAPPENED TO MEAN REVERSION?

MOONSHOT - "ispace" A JAPAN LISTED MOON PLAY

HOW TO READ THE ECONOMIST

CAN YOU DEVALUE TO PROSPERITY?

IS CHINA WINNING? PART II

ARE PRO-LABOUR POLICIES THE END OF EMERGING MARKET INVESTING?

WHAT TO DO ABOUT INDIA - PART II

IS THE ECONOMIST A RELIABLE CONTRA?

THE SHALE PATCH AND OIL PRICES

FOOD INFLATION - HAVE I BEEN TOO “WESTERN” IN MY ANALYSIS?

MARXIST MACRO MODEL

WHAT’S THE DEAL WITH MCDONALDS?

IS CHINA WINNING?

WHAT TO SHORT SELL?

VALUING SUBSTACK

IS JAPAN'S POPULATION REALLY GOING TO FALL BY A THIRD?

IS TLT STILL A SHORT?

DOES THE BANK CRISIS SPELL THE END FOR AUTOCALLABLES?

BIZZARO BANK CRISIS

DEFLATION OR INFLATION?

LOOKING FOR THE NEXT SVB - 4M PROCESS

THE RETURN OF THE WIDOWMAKER?

SVB - IS THAT REALLY THE END OF THE HIKING CYCLE?

CLEARINGHOUSES - LDI AND THE LESSONS WE WON'T LEARN

KARTING UPDATE

SO YOU WANT TO BE THE NEXT WARREN BUFFETT?

A LONG IDEA!

TIME FOR BITCOIN?

SHOULD I LAUNCH A HEDGE FUND?

SHOULD YOU (OR I) LAUNCH A HEDGE FUND?

INFLATION OR NO INFLATION?

HERE COMES THE BABY BOOM - AUSSIE STYLE!

WHERE ARE WE ON THE PRO-LABOUR SHIFT?

MEGA TRADING - BUFFETT STYLE

ALL HAIL TEXAS SOCIALISM

MEGA TRADERS - OR HOW I LEARNT TO LOVE THE US GOVERNMENT

THE NEXT FOOD SPIKE?

MEGA TRADE FOLLOW UP : FAILURE TO LAUNCH

FOOD INFLATION UPDATE

BONDS - DO SOME MATH

RETHINKING JAPAN

ARE JAPANESE BANKS A BUY?

SHORT SELLING SUCKS - SINO STOCKS SERIES

WAR IN UKRAINE - HUNTING FOR THE MEGA TRADE

WHAT TO DO ABOUT INDIA?

NEW YEAR SPECIAL : HAVE WE SEEN A PEAK IN PAX AMERICANA?