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LJ's avatar

Thanks for sharing Russell, tho the Chinese bond mkt is clearly pricing in slow growth

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Russell Clark's avatar

Agreed - but it turns with politics...

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Clement's avatar

So far no sign of a pivot yet 🙁

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Russell Clark's avatar

nope

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William Gallacher's avatar

One of the better mustaches I've seen! Thanks again Russell for all of the great content

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Russell Clark's avatar

Thank you - I was trying it out before committing to Movember

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Clement's avatar

Thanks Russell, some thoughts:

1) Is there a way to "strip out" the effect of the strong DXY which has a disproportionate influence on GLD? For example, going long GLD in EUR (or JPY) terms while being short TLT? Without entering into futures or derivatives contracts (although an institutional investor obviously can do so).

2) The Chinese bond market (10 year yield currently 2.6-7%) with a plainly weak equity market is essentially pricing in an "Ice Age" to use Albert Edward's famous terminology. If the property rout persists I don't see how this turns easily.

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Russell Clark's avatar

Very hard to strip out Covid issues - and back in 2016, they turned the property market back on by supplying credit - so its a policy choice, and one to be aware of

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