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A Walking Gentleman's avatar

Seems obvious but the faster speed of work processes over 40-50 years (i.e. deflationary landscape) has ultimately made having a family younger harder. I don't see that pace slowing so a spike in population is doubtful unless technology (and policy as you mention) develops for more later in life pregnancies.

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Russell Clark's avatar

That technology exists. I think outside of Israel there is no broad consensus that population growth is a good thing - which is a very reasonable view to have. Politically I sense most people in the UK would see a doubling of the population as not necessarily good.

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A Walking Gentleman's avatar

Usually technology gets more affordable in time. Doesn’t seem to be the case with IVF and storage on Hartley Street in particular.

In a non conspiracy theorist way you should look at excess deaths as part of your data set. Funeral Directors near me are up 18% now compared to 2019 levels.

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